These are my personal subjective rankings of the top 10 teams in the NFL:
1. New England Patriots (8-0) (Last Week: 2)
So why, after Indy won their game by a large margin did I switch New England back to number one and the Colts to number two? It’s based on who I think will win the game this weekend (42-28 by the way). The Pats played against a better defense in the Washington Redskins, managed and controlled the clock much better, smothered the ‘Skin’s offensive efforts by allowing only two third down conversions on twelve attempts, and did what they have been doing all year: developing a sound running game which allows receivers to get open which lets Brady do his magic. If anyone could stop the Pats it’s Indy; but after this performance, that seems unlikely.
2. Indianapolis Colts (7-0) (1)
Indy won, as they have been doing all year, but to understanding why I demoted them to the number two spot it pays to look at what they did poorly. In their game against Jacksonville they fell behind early and despite the final score, the game was never dominated by Indy the way the Pat’s dominated theirs. The Panthers almost shot themselves in the foot the whole game, giving up turnovers and getting hurt by penalties resulting in 55 yards. Addai and the running game needs to be more explosive and Manning needs to work on his accuracy. Although every weekend shows us that Indy and New England are playing on an entirely other level (with guest appearances by Dallas), even on that level there is a King and that King is the New England Patriots.
3. Dallas Cowboys (6-1) (3)
Dallas spent this past weekend as a Bye week and will probably spend this weekend more focused on the Indy-N.E. game which very likely will show who they will play with in the superbowl, rather than their game in Philly which should be a cakewalk.
4. Green Bay Packers (5-1) (5)
Denver left the game up to the very end (overtime in this case) as usual yet Green Bay was able to overcome led by none other then their emblematic leader, Brett Farve and his miracle TD throw in OT. Denver played with determination and the whole game Green Bay was unable to turn promising drives into scores. The key for Green Bay when they play a quick Kansas City team this weekend will be whether they can change that bad habit and actually produce more than 19 points from 430 yards. That converts to 22.6 yards per offensive point (compare with San Diego below).
5. New York Giants (5-2) (4)
Ok, ok, ok: they had jet-lag, they were playing in sloppy conditions, in a foreign city, far from home…but so was Miami, one of the worst teams in the NFL which still managed to keep the game competitive if not interesting down to the end. Eli Maning was a compelte disaster and unlike his brother Peyton, he has never been able to emerge as a compelling team leader. His 8 completions in 22 attempts for only 59 yards and no completions is embarrassing. The strong Giants running game however gave them an early lead which they simply held on for during the second half.
6. San Diego Chargers (4-3) (6)
While San Diego’s offense was weak to say the least, they managed to maximize their per yard benefit which is the exact opposite of what Green Bay did. Three of QB Philip Rivers’ 7 completed passes were for touchdowns and while the running game only racked up 109 yards, the yards came when they were needed most and set up scoring situations. The Chargers are back and open for business having won three straight by impressive margins and with stars LT, Rivers, and TE Antonio Gates recovering from early season stumbles. Compared to Green Bay above, the Chargers had 11.28 yards per offensive point and 6.77 yards per total point (offensive and defensive).
7. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) (8)
Willie Parker is an extremely talented RB and Pittsburgh and Mike Tomlin are smart enough to utilize him the most effectively. The running and passing games worked in a synchronized manner and QB Roethlisberger is using this season to develop into a better, more playoff-worthy, quarterback.
8. Seattle Seahawks(4-3) (7)
Seattle enjoyed a Bye week but the Steelers impressive win merited the demotion.
9. Detroit Lions (5-2) (9)
The Lions won and are currently experiencing a rebirth of their football program this season. The Detroit defense which has been absent in the past, outshined the formerly great Chicago defense this game by nabbing 4 interceptions (three of them forced) and smothering the running game from the get go. On the other side of the ball, Detroit and Kevin Jones launched an effective running game by outsmarting the Chicago linebackers which really opened up the game. As a note to the owners of the Lions however, I would like to once again deplore them to get rid of QB Jon Kitna and give this receiving corps (one of the best in the NFL), the quality quarterback they deserve.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2) (10)
In a well matched, exciting game against the Jeff Garcia led Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Jacksonville rebounded from the loss against Indy in what was essentially a defensive game despite the score. Jacksonville’s new QB Quinn Gray left little room for criticism although he was hardly impressive. With QB Garrard out, this game may prove the blue print that Jacksonville will attempt to duplicate for future wins: a conservative passing game which focuses on making few errors, a multi-back running game playing to specific talents in specific situations, and a conservative defense which focuses more on making consistent tackles than on explosive game-changing individual performances.